The Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy

Reblogged from You Are Not So Smart:

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The Misconception: You take randomness into account when determining cause and effect.

The Truth: You tend to ignore random chance when the results seem meaningful or when you want a random event to have a meaningful cause.

Abraham Lincoln and John F. Kennedy were both presidents of the United States, elected 100 years apart. Both were shot and killed by assassins who were known by three names with 15 letters, John Wilkes Booth and Lee Harvey Oswald, and neither killer would make it to trial.

Read more… 2,574 more words

Just found this awesome blog and this awesome post. May be reblogging a lot of what's on there

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